CDC Warns of Avian Flu Pandemic Potential: H5N1 Mutations Surge, Heightening Infectiousness and Drug Resistance

CDC Warns of Avian Flu Pandemic Potential
CDC Warns of Avian Flu Pandemic Potential. Credit | Adobe Stock

United States: Amidst the concern of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), avian influenza, commonly known as bird flu, emerges as a potential catalyst for the next human pandemic. The CDC’s recent report, discreetly released, underscored the pandemic potential of avian flu strains, particularly in the context of human transmission and the necessity for vaccine deployment.

Simultaneously, a distinct study conducted by the US Department of Agriculture unveils genetic alterations within the H5N1 strain, wreaking havoc across dairy farms. This genetic evolution may render the virus more adept at interspecies transmission, potentially affecting not only bovines but also humans while possibly conferring resistance to antiviral treatments, according to reports published by Daily Mail. 

Despite these concerning developments, both the CDC and the World Health Organization (WHO) maintain that the risk to the general populace of the United States remains minimal; however, WHO underscored the moderate risk of infection for individuals with direct exposure to infected birds, animals, or contaminated environments.

In a proactive response, the CDC recently convened a webinar attended by infectious disease specialists and CDC officials following the alarming revelation of new H5N1 mutations by USDA researchers. The USDA’s findings suggest that certain mutations detected within the virus population, albeit at low frequencies, could potentially alter its transmission dynamics, particularly following adaptation within dairy cattle.

Published as a pre-print on BioRxiv, the USDA study scrutinizes nasal and milk samples from numerous infected cows, unveiling a plethora of mutations, some of which are linked to functional changes within the virus. These genetic adaptations may enhance the virus’s pathogenicity, mammalian adaptability, and interspecies transmission capabilities.

Moreover, retrospective analysis indicates that the cattle outbreak commenced in late 2023, preceding official reports by approximately four months. The virus is believed to have initially jumped from avian hosts to bovines in the Texas Panhandle before disseminating across various herds in multiple states, including Kansas, Michigan, and New Mexico, as reported by news daily Daily Mail. 

The widespread dissemination of avian influenza among cattle poses an imminent threat, with at least 36 infected herds documented across nine states, although the true extent of the outbreak likely surpasses current estimates. Furthermore, concerns linger regarding potential transmission to farm personnel, with reports indicating a reluctance among sick individuals to undergo testing, thereby exacerbating the risk of further spread within both agricultural and wild animal populations.